Workforce Development Research — Chicago, IL

Client: Law & Civic Reading and Writing Institute

Live BLS data · forecast method: sarimax
Projected union unemployment (Jun 2027)
3.8%
▲ from 3.8% today · 90% CI 0.0–16.1%
Forecast reliability (backtest)
±0.41 pts
MAE over 18 held-out months · method: sarimax
Minority ↔ union association
V = 0.084
statistically significant (χ² test, p<0.05)
Avg union-org social sentiment
+0.26
scale −1 (negative) to +1 (positive)
Weighted union membership
13.9%
highest: Hispanic or Latino · lowest: Black or African American
Weighted unemployment
9.6%
highest: Native American (10.7%)

Union Unemployment Forecast

Drag the slider or use the 1Y/3Y/5Y buttons to zoom. Hover for monthly values.

Union Membership & Unemployment by Group

Grouped bars — hover to compare. Sorted by union membership.

Representation Index (Union × Group)

Red = over-represented vs. independence, blue = under-represented. Hover any cell.

Union-Org Social Media

Use the dropdown to switch between sentiment, engagement, and the time trend.

Leadership vs. Membership Gap

Negative = group holds a smaller share of leadership than of membership.